By Ershad Mahmud
Sunday, 03 Oct, 2010 | 01:26 AM PST |
SCORES of people have been killed in the Kashmir
Valley in pitched street battles between angry protestors and Indian
security forces during the last three months. It is said that each
death creates new protestors who fearlessly battle with police and
paramilitary forces.
Despite
the heavy-handedness of the security forces and frequent impositions of
curfews no end to current resistance is in sight. A couple of
consecutive high profile incidents of human rights violation by the
security forces and the lack of accountability at the state level
forced the people to take to the streets which turned into a massive
agitation. It is the third straight summer which have witnessed the
massive street protests that have not only paralyzed the state
apparatus but has also affected the daily life.
New Delhi made
several attempts but could not succeed to reach out to the people and
address their grievances and aspirations so far. The same old
traditional and conservative methods are being applied to handle the
problem such as most of the pro-Azadi leaders have been locked up in
the jails while repressive measures are used to curb the agitation.
Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh appeared twice on television channels and made
appeals to the people to calm down and help restore peace in the Valley
but to no avail. The current cycle of agitation began when the security
forces killed a protestor who was part of a march against a fake
encounter that took place in the Machil, a town close to Line of
Control.
The people urged the government to revoke draconian
laws which provide immunity to forces to act without fear of
accountability. The central government, along with armed forces, not
only ignored the protestors’ genuine demand but also issued no
reprimand to its local forces’ commanders to censure them to avoid such
behaviour in future. Neither the vibrant media nor civil society picked
up this issue to sympathise with the people of Kashmir.
On the
contrary, top armed forces commanders declared that the Armed Forces
Special Power Act (AFSPA) was a holy book for his rank and file.The
outcome of the 2008 state assembly elections and tragic Mumbai attacks
followed by Pakistan’s indifferent attitude towards the plight of the
Kashmiris has emboldened New Delhi to suspend any negotiations with
Pakistan to find an acceptable solution for all stakeholders. During
the last couple of years it seriously downplayed Kashmiri aspirations
and overlooked political realities of Kashmir.
On the other
hand, Indian armed forces have triumphantly declared that they have
defeated militancy in Kashmir. Therefore, New Delhi diverted all
energies to build state of the art infrastructure in the state and
froze the negotiation process with Mirwaiz Omer Farooq led Hurriyat
Conference and closed the chapter of composite dialogue process with
Islamabad. Interestingly, pro-India Kashmiri leadership has
persistently been calling for the political solution of the issue but
Delhi never took them seriously.
Above all, the authorities
have miserably failed to understand the depth of alienation and
grievances of the people when the non-violent character of Kashmiri
uprising appeared. The New York Times noted that the protests had led
India to one of its most serious internal crises in recent memory. Not
just because of their ferocity and persistence, but because they signal
the failure of decades of efforts to win the assent of Kashmiris using
just about any tool available: money, elections and overwhelming use of
force.
Over a period of time Indian society has been told that
whatever awful occurs in Kashmir, it is planned by Pakistan to
destabilise India. The victim card worked well. Even liberal opinion
makers and civil society activists hardly criticised their government’s
disproportionate use of force because of Pakistan or radicals’ role in
Kashmir. Now, when a peaceful mass movement has taken over the radical
and violent forces New Delhi is yet not able to seize the opportunity
and initiate unconditional dialogue.
It is largely perceived
that if India gives any concessions to Srinagar it will be seen as its
weakness in the face of the protests. Ironically, BJP which is deemed
as an architect of peace process with Pakistan does not want to give
any credit to Congress to solve the Kashmir issue. Therefore, BJP
declared it would not let the government show even a mild gesture of
flexibility. Only Communist Party of India (Marxist) publically
acknowledged that the question of Jammu and Kashmir has to be treated
as a special case and this requires a new political framework. It makes
an uphill task for the Congress to offer symbolic compromise even to
its own coalition partner in Srinagar — National Conference — to
assuage people’s grievances.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh also
offered conditional talks with the separatist leadership which was
declined. Though, it was hinted at the top level that internal autonomy
can be granted to Jammu and Kashmir but it could not turn the table.
Pro-Azadi groups have upped the ante and are no more asking for mere
autonomy.
Additionally, autonomy has always been National
Conference’s (NC) political mantra. Other mainstream parties such as
People’s Democratic Party or Kashmir chapter of the Indian Congress
never let NC take political mileage if Delhi grants further internal
autonomy to Kashmir. The dissident voices too do not appreciate this
sort of outcome to their 20-year long struggle.
This newly
found mass resilience also indicates that Indian forces have limited
options to contain Kashmiri upsurge too. In fact, the use of force and
repressive measure have not only lost their effectiveness but also
proved counterproductive. Several times curfews were violated by the
citizens and they joined either funeral procession or agitation. The
Economist of London has aptly encapsulated the challenge that New Delhi
is facing in Kashmir. It says, “at some point they (cycle of protests)
will become so big that they can only be contained by killing more of
its citizens than a democracy can stand.”
In this context,
finding a respectable way out is a gigantic task for New Delhi as well
as for the people of Kashmir since unlimited agitations are not
sustainable in the long run. It should be acknowledged at the level of
policy-makers and political elite that Kashmir issue has internal as
well as external dimensions to deal with. There is no denying the fact
that during the last two decades Islamabad’s influence in the Kashmir
Valley has increased tremendously. As long as Islamabad and New Delhi
continue to follow hostile approaches towards each other and do not
stop the zero-sum game, peace in Kashmir will remain a pipedream.
However,
the state government led by Omer Abdullah can also play a vital role if
it demonstrates political maturity. No matter what political cost it
has to pay, the state government should not allow the security forces
to use highhanded policies to curb the legitimate protests. It offers
no solution to the current unrest. It, in fact, has aggravated the
situation further.
The resumption of internal dialogue in
Kashmir can be helpful if New Delhi makes it a tri-partite –
Srinagar-Delhi, Srinagar-Islamabad and finally Delhi and Islamabad
based exercise. However, a dialogue between various regions and
hassle-free intra-Kashmir interaction at all levels of the society can
always be useful to narrow down the extreme positions and to create a
broader understanding of each others’ viewpoints. The dialogue should
be backed by practical steps to improve the ground realities such as
demilitarisation of the urban centres.
The writer is an Islamabad-based political analyst.
ajkrawalakot@gmail.com